What jobs do 15-year-olds expect to do at 30?
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Every few years, thousands of teenagers are asked a very simple question: What job do you expect to have when you’re 30?
It’s an important question because having an answer helps teenagers plan for the future, whether that’s taking a specific class or deciding whether to attend college. That’s why the OECD’s PISA survey has asked this question since 2000.
But in the last 20 years, we’ve seen a concerning trend: More and more teenagers name the same basic jobs, like doctor or lawyer, almost as if they’re picking jobs out of a children’s book. And even more worrisome is that more and more teenagers don’t even name a job.
All of this hints that today’s teenagers aren’t thinking enough about their future plans – and, fair or not, this lack of career preparation will likely have lifelong consequences.
Note: The headline on this piece has been updated.
Previous headline: Why 25% of teens can’t answer this question
Sources and further reading:
This OECD report argues that the narrowing answers to this question hint that teens are confused about their future careers:
Here’s the data from the PISA survey:
It’s difficult to work with, but the codebook provides broad summaries of the data:
This study shows that students with science-related ambitions are far more likely to get science or engineering degrees, even if they aren’t as good at math:
This paper looks at the long term ramifications of being “misaligned” as a teenager:
If you’re a solutions-oriented person, this OECD report is about what we can do to help teenagers better think about their professional futures:
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